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Why Fresh Manitoba Graduates Have Almost Zero Chance Under MPNP in 2025

If you’re studying in Manitoba and planning to settle here — it’s time for a reality check.

The Manitoba Provincial Nominee Program (MPNP) has taken a major turn in 2025, and it’s not in favour of fresh international graduates. The facts are clear — your chances are slimmer than ever.

The Numbers That Matter

The provincial quota for 2025 has been cut in half — from 9,500 to just 4,750 total nominations.

As per 2023’s draws, only 3,017 spots are available for the Skilled Worker in Manitoba stream, which is the main route for international graduates and workers.

What Does That Mean for Students?

Let’s break it down:

There are 15,290 total study permit holders in Manitoba. 10,570 are post-secondary students, and 6,910 are university students. That is over 10,000 eligible graduates — fighting for just 3,107 quotas.

To add to those numbers, there are 3,540 college students and 44,000 work permit holders in Manitoba.

Now you’re competing with more than 59,000 potential candidates for a slice of just 3,170 nominations.

That’s a 5.2% chance; or worse.


Many students come to Manitoba with hopes of securing PR through a short 1-year diploma. Here’s the hard truth:

Even if you have:

  • A master’s degree from back home
  • A diploma from Manitoba
  • Full-time experience

Your maximum MPNP score would be around 875, a level that even a PhD graduate may not reach under the current system. But the problem is that you will get only 1 year of PGWP with this diploma. In current scenario, it is impossible to complete the process in 1 year.

This is a data-backed reality. If you’re a fresh graduate or a current student in Manitoba, do not rely on outdated assumptions and do not expect guaranteed pathways

Thousands of hopeful applicants are headed for disappointment this year. Don’t be one of them. Book your free assessment today with the best immigration lawyer in Winnipeg, and take control of your future with clarity.

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