MPNP 2025 Annual Overview: Category-Wise Analysis & Key Immigration Trends

The Manitoba Provincial Nominee Program (MPNP) underwent notable changes in 2025. Compared to previous years, the program saw fewer draws, smaller quotas, and more selective invitations, making Manitoba immigration increasingly competitive.

This MPNP 2025 Annual Review provides a category-wise comparison with 2024, highlighting how the program evolved and what applicants should expect moving forward.

Overall MPNP Trends: 2024 vs 2025

Manitoba recorded a clear decline in Expressions of Interest (EOIs) in 2025.

• 2024: 9,519 EOIs
• 2025: 7,437 EOIs
  

This downward trend reflects tighter provincial quotas, changing labour market priorities, and more targeted draw strategies. Skilled Worker in Manitoba (SWM): Most Affected in 2025

The Skilled Worker in Manitoba category was one of the hardest hit streams in 2025.

Draw Comparison
2024: 18 draws & 3,013 Letters of Advice to Apply (LAAs)
2025: Only 5 draws & Just 1,280 LAAs

Key Observations

• Only one general draw was conducted in 2025
• Remaining draws were:
• 2 occupation-specific
• 2 Manitoba graduate-focused
  
• All cut-off scores were 800+, making selection extremely competitive
• No draws for relatives, fewer opportunities for local graduates and specific occupations

While temporary public policy draws offered relief to long-waiting candidates, overall opportunities under this stream were significantly limited.

Skilled Worker Overseas (SWO): Consistent Draws, Fewer Invitations

The Skilled Worker Overseas category showed consistency in draw frequency but a decline in invitations.

Draw Comparison

2024: 23 draws & 1,367 LAAs

2025: 26 draws & 1,030 LAAs
Although the number of draws increased, selection volumes were lower, indicating stricter targeting and reduced intake per draw.

International Education Stream (IES): Fewer Draws, Selective Invitations

The International Education Stream experienced a sharp reduction in draw frequency.

Draw Comparison

2024: 19 draws & 2,827 LAAs
2025: Only 5 draws & 2,462 LAAs

Key Observations

One mega draw accounted for a large portion of invitations & Other draws were highly selective, focusing on:

• Master’s graduates
• Candidates with close relatives in Manitoba
• Specific work experience or labour market needs

This reflects Manitoba’s shift toward quality-based selection rather than volume.

Manitoba’s Support for Ukrainian Nationals

In 2025, Manitoba continued its strong humanitarian commitment. A single Ukrainian-focused draw issued 1,466 LOAs.  This was the largest draw for Ukrainian nationals compared to previous years.

MPNP 2025: Big Picture Summary

• Fewer draws across most categories
• Smaller provincial quota
• Highly selective and fluctuating draw patterns
• One of the most restrictive years in the past decade for Manitoba immigration
  

Looking Ahead: What to Expect in 2026

Based on historical patterns & increased PNP Quota, this suggests:

• More regular draws
• Potentially larger invitation numbers
• Improved opportunities for well-prepared candidates

Immigration is a trend-driven process. To succeed, applicants must understand the numbers, patterns, and policy shifts.

At A&M Canadian Immigration Law Corporation, we believe “Digits Speak.” For the latest MPNP updates, draw analysis, and immigration trends,
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